Daily Football Model

Allsvenskan DNA · 2026-09-12

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🇸🇪 Allsvenskan

The Open Road — fortress very low & chaos very high

Personality twin: 🇨🇿 Chance Liga (distance 17) · polar opposite: 🌎 Copa Sudamericana

Under siege 21%Cynical disruptor 21%Fast and clean 17%Punished on few chances 14%strength -0.43σ

trait	this league
Draws	23%	p20
Both score	52%	p41
Tempo	2.88 goals/game	p64
Fortress	+4pp home	p5
Chaos	95/100	p95
Late drama	23% of goals 76'+	p25
Comebacks	15% won from behind	p44
Model grip	49% favourites landed (n=51)	p48

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (401 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.