Daily Football Model

Allsvenskan DNA · 2026-10-02

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🇸🇪 Allsvenskan

The Tempest — chaos very high & fortress very low

Personality twin: 🇨🇿 Chance Liga (distance 17) · polar opposite: World Cup Qual. (South America)

Cynical disruptor 28%Under siege 21%Territorial control 14%Fast and clean 10%strength -0.39σ

trait	this league
Draws	23%	p26
Both score	52%	p49
Tempo	2.88 goals/game	p64
Fortress	+4pp home	p5
Chaos	96/100	p96
Late drama	23% of goals 76'+	p25
Comebacks	15% won from behind	p44
Model grip	49% favourites landed (n=51)	p46

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (418 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.