Daily Football Model

La Liga DNA · 2026-09-12

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🇪🇸 La Liga

The Fortress — fortress very high & chaos very low

Personality twin: 🇧🇷 Brasileirão (distance 20) · polar opposite: 🇮🇹 Serie A

Pass-dominant 19%Punished on few chances 16%Frugal finishers 13%Long ball, physical 13%strength +0.46σ

trait	this league
Draws	25%	p44
Both score	56%	p69
Tempo	2.72 goals/game	p46
Fortress	+23pp home	p98
Chaos	3/100	p3
Late drama	24% of goals 76'+	p81
Comebacks	17% won from behind	p75
Model grip	46% favourites landed (n=35)	p43

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (421 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.