Daily Football Model

Primeira Liga DNA · 2026-09-12

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🇵🇹 Primeira Liga

The Locked Gate — both score very low & late drama high

Personality twin: 🇱🇹 A Lyga (distance 14) · polar opposite: 🇮🇸 Besta deild

Fast and clean 17%Territorial control 17%Cynical disruptor 14%Direct and dangerous 14%strength +0.03σ

trait	this league
Draws	27%	p74
Both score	47%	p11
Tempo	2.67 goals/game	p38
Fortress	+10pp home	p28
Chaos	75/100	p75
Late drama	24% of goals 76'+	p83
Comebacks	15% won from behind	p23
Model grip	53% favourites landed (n=38)	p60

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (352 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.