Daily Football Model

Primeira Liga DNA · 2026-10-02

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🇵🇹 Primeira Liga

The Tempest — chaos high & late drama high

Personality twin: 🇱🇹 A Lyga (distance 15) · polar opposite: 🇮🇸 Besta deild

Direct and dangerous 24%Cynical disruptor 21%Territorial control 10%Patient but blunt 7%strength -0.02σ

trait	this league
Draws	28%	p79
Both score	48%	p26
Tempo	2.68 goals/game	p42
Fortress	+9pp home	p25
Chaos	84/100	p84
Late drama	24% of goals 76'+	p83
Comebacks	15% won from behind	p23
Model grip	53% favourites landed (n=45)	p59

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (370 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.