Daily Football Model

Eliteserien DNA · 2026-09-12

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🇳🇴 Eliteserien

The Decider — draws very low & chaos very low

Personality twin: 🇪🇺 Champions League (distance 17) · polar opposite: 🌎 Copa Sudamericana

Fast and clean 32%Patient but blunt 16%Pass-dominant 16%Cynical disruptor 12%strength -0.25σ

trait	this league
Draws	19%	p7
Both score	56%	p72
Tempo	3.13 goals/game	p82
Fortress	+18pp home	p75
Chaos	13/100	p13
Late drama	23% of goals 76'+	p31
Comebacks	17% won from behind	p67
Model grip	55% favourites landed (n=47)	p66

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (393 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.