Daily Football Model

Serie A DNA · 2026-09-12

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🇮🇹 Serie A

The Tempest — chaos very high & fortress very low

Personality twin: 🇬🇷 Super League Greece (distance 23) · polar opposite: 🇮🇸 Besta deild

Patient but blunt 21%Fast and clean 18%Cynical disruptor 15%Frugal finishers 12%strength +0.51σ

trait	this league
Draws	25%	p51
Both score	46%	p8
Tempo	2.45 goals/game	p13
Fortress	+3pp home	p3
Chaos	100/100	p100
Late drama	23% of goals 76'+	p35
Comebacks	14% won from behind	p15
Model grip	71% favourites landed (n=24)	p97

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (410 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.