Daily Football Model

NB I DNA · 2026-10-02

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🇭🇺 NB I

The Open Road — fortress very low & chaos very high

Personality twin: 🇸🇦 Saudi Pro League (distance 18) · polar opposite: World Cup Qual. (South America)

Pass-dominant 18%Frugal finishers 18%Long ball, physical 18%Cynical disruptor 18%strength -0.13σ

trait	this league
Draws	25%	p57
Both score	61%	p90
Tempo	3.05 goals/game	p78
Fortress	+5pp home	p8
Chaos	92/100	p92
Late drama	23% of goals 76'+	p50
Comebacks	16% won from behind	p48
Model grip	48% favourites landed (n=29)	p42

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (245 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.