Daily Football Model

Eerste Divisie DNA · 2026-10-02

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🇳🇱 Eerste Divisie

The Open Door — both score very high & tempo very high

Personality twin: 🏆 FA Cup (distance 8) · polar opposite: World Cup Qual. (South America)

Territorial control 17%Under siege 14%Patient but blunt 10%Punished on few chances 10%strength -0.70σ

trait	this league
Draws	21%	p16
Both score	63%	p94
Tempo	3.27 goals/game	p88
Fortress	+11pp home	p35
Chaos	62/100	p62
Late drama	23% of goals 76'+	p27
Comebacks	18% won from behind	p85
Model grip	58% favourites landed (n=73)	p68

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (474 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.