Daily Football Model

Eerste Divisie DNA · 2026-09-12

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🇳🇱 Eerste Divisie

The Open Door — both score very high & tempo very high

Personality twin: 🇶🇦 Qatar Stars League (distance 10) · polar opposite: 🌎 Copa Sudamericana

Territorial control 21%Under siege 14%Direct and dangerous 10%Punished on few chances 10%strength -0.73σ

trait	this league
Draws	22%	p15
Both score	63%	p92
Tempo	3.26 goals/game	p89
Fortress	+8pp home	p16
Chaos	85/100	p85
Late drama	23% of goals 76'+	p27
Comebacks	18% won from behind	p85
Model grip	51% favourites landed (n=49)	p53

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (444 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.