Daily Football Model

Ligue 1 DNA · 2026-10-02

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🇫🇷 Ligue 1

The Metronome — chaos low & fortress high

Personality twin: World Cup (distance 13) · polar opposite: ASEAN Cup

Cynical disruptor 19%Patient but blunt 16%Fast and clean 12%Under siege 12%strength +0.43σ

trait	this league
Draws	25%	p56
Both score	52%	p45
Tempo	2.83 goals/game	p56
Fortress	+16pp home	p69
Chaos	29/100	p29
Late drama	23% of goals 76'+	p65
Comebacks	15% won from behind	p35
Model grip	53% favourites landed (n=36)	p58

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (354 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.