Daily Football Model

EFL Cup DNA · 2026-10-02

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🏆 EFL Cup

The Open Road — fortress very low & chaos very high

Personality twin: 🇦🇪 UAE Pro League (distance 13) · polar opposite: World Cup Qual. (South America)

style clusters pendingstrength +0.83σ

trait	this league	vs all 62 leagues
Draws	20%		p13
Both score	54%		p62
Tempo	2.93 goals/game		p69
Fortress	-1pp home		p0
Chaos	99/100		p99
Late drama	—	no data for this league
Comebacks	—	no data for this league
Model grip	65% favourites landed (n=72)		p85

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (169 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.