Daily Football Model

EFL Cup DNA · 2026-09-12

← Today's predictions Intel Unpredictable

🏆 EFL Cup

The Open Road — fortress very low & chaos very high

Personality twin: 🇦🇪 UAE Pro League (distance 16) · polar opposite: 🌎 Copa Sudamericana

style clusters pendingstrength +0.92σ

trait	this league	vs all 62 leagues
Draws	20%		p10
Both score	53%		p48
Tempo	2.86 goals/game		p61
Fortress	-1pp home		p0
Chaos	97/100		p97
Late drama	—	no data for this league
Comebacks	—	no data for this league
Model grip	67% favourites landed (n=63)		p90

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (159 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.