Daily Football Model

HNL DNA · 2026-09-12

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The Textbook — model grip very high & fortress very high

Personality twin: 🌏 AFC Champions League (distance 12) · polar opposite: 🇫🇷 Ligue 2

Punished on few chances 31%Under siege 23%Cynical disruptor 15%Fast and clean 8%strength -0.17σ

trait	this league
Draws	24%	p39
Both score	52%	p33
Tempo	2.73 goals/game	p51
Fortress	+21pp home	p90
Chaos	10/100	p10
Late drama	22% of goals 76'+	p10
Comebacks	15% won from behind	p27
Model grip	70% favourites landed (n=27)	p95

Each trait is measured over the league's last two seasons (209 games) and shown as a percentile against every league we cover; the radar is those eight percentiles. Late drama and comebacks come from goal-by-minute events and are blank where the feed carries none. Model grip is our own favourite hit rate on graded days, so it needs 15 graded fixtures before it shows. Descriptive only.